Week 9 preview: the Strong picks and the trends behind them
Week 9 is here. 49 games have a model pick this week, and 13 of them carry a Strong pick: the model is 6+ points off the market on the spread or total.
The Strong picks
Florida Atlantic at North Texas
- Total: Under 76.5.
- Spread: UCLA -22.5.
- Spread: Mississippi State +20.5.
- Total: Under 63.5.
- Spread: Old Dominion +3.
- Total: Over 51.5. Model 6-10 pts above the total
- Spread: Pittsburgh -7.5.
- Spread: Oregon -3.5.
- Spread: Iowa State +9.5.
- Spread: Ohio State -6.5. Trends disagree with the model.
- Total: Over 51.5. Model 6-10 pts above the total
- Total: Under 54.5.
- Spread: Wisconsin +3.5. Trends disagree with the model.
- Total: Over 36.5. Model 6-10 pts above the total
- Spread: Sam Houston +6.
The trends coming in
- Model struggles: Two big-play offenses (total): the model is 14-31 this season.
- Model struggles: Spread moved slightly against the model (spread): the model is 28-51 this season.
- Model struggles: Average-paced game (spread): the model is 52-81 this season.
- Model struggles: A team off a bye (spread): the model is 26-46 this season.
- Model struggles: FBS vs FCS (spread): the model is 6-16 this season.
- Model struggles: Big Ten matchup (total): the model is 11-23 this season.
Games to watch
- Spread: Maryland +2.5. Trends disagree with the model.
- Total: Over 54.5. Trends disagree with the model.
- Spread: Washington +7.5. Trends disagree with the model.
- Total: Over 49.5. Trends disagree with the model.
- Spread: Purdue +9.5. Trends disagree with the model.
- Spread: Western Kentucky -1.5. Trends disagree with the model.
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State
- Spread: Georgia State -6. Trends disagree with the model.
Every pick, every trend and every game is on the board. See this week's picks.
Trends describe what has happened; they are not guarantees. Not betting advice.